Firstly, let me start by saying that our Prime Minister has assessed that the attack by the Israeli Reich and the US on Iran is illegal under international law, this is over and above the fact that Trump did not get Congressional approval. It is now clear that Starmer has capitulated and will allow the US military to use British bases to attack Iran. Unlike Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez, Starmer lacks both a political backbone and conviction. Trump said that Starmer is no Churchill, and that is a fact; he is no FDR, more Caligula. However, no one, including the vast majority of Iranians, will mourn the death of the murdering, theocratic and misogynistic dictator Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei. If you are mourning his death, that is like mourning the death of Stalin, Hitler, or Pol Pot.
Now, to the war, what is it about? What we can be sure of is that the Israeli tail is wagging the American dog. This is not hard to establish when you appoint a praying for Armageddon right-wing Christian fundamentalist in the guise of Mike Huckabee as your ambassador. Gaza’s genocide is off the front page, and we ignore the ongoing annexation of the West Bank. This, over and above the fact that Sudan and Ukraine are just about making the back pages. Trump and Rubio have produced various rationales for the pre-emptive strike on Iran, even though it was making progress toward closing down Iran’s nuclear programme.
Firstly, Trump said he wanted to dismantle the nuclear programme. This was the programme, according to him, which was obliterated in the Midnight Hammer attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities in June 2025. Then it was to destroy Iran’s ballistic missile capability, it was regime change, and finally, Trump had a “feeling” that Iran would carry out a pre-emptive missile attack on the US, with what God only knows. Secretary of WAR Pete Hegseth, who has no more between his ears than Action Man, contradicted Trump and said the offensive was not about regime change but degrading Iran’s military infrastructure. What is clear is that, according to experts, Iran did not have a ballistic missile that could reach the US. In the US, Trump is getting blowback from former arch-sycophant Marjorie Taylor Greene because this intervention in Iran goes to the heart of the MAGA promise of no more foreign wars and no more regime change. Polls in the US show a majority of the voting public is against this war, asking one simple question: What is the goal? Despite this, Republicans in the House and the Senate will not curtail Trump’s war games. The impact on Republicans in the midterms is that the Dems could, if they play their cards right, take control of both houses, and that would be a blessing to us all.
Today in Iran, it is the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps that is running the show, and they will fight for their survival and the booty they get from controlling 40% of the Iranian economy. This 47-year-old theocracy has been designed to survive with Khamenei’s son likely to be anointed the new Supreme Leader. This theocratic fascist will be supported by around 20% of the Iranian population, totalling some 20 million. The only question is, if the regime was designed to survive, why did they just not capitulate to Trump’s demands?
The Israeli /US offensive will continue for at least weeks if not months because 90% of the Israeli public supports the action against Iran. They forgive Netanyahu’s failures around October 7th, the genocide committed by the IDF with his blessing and the fact that their Prime Minister has been indicted by the International Criminal Court as a war criminal. What is clear is that the Israeli public has moved distinctly to the right, Gvir/Smotrich style, and surely Jehovah must be, at the very least, embarrassed by the actions of his “chosen” people.
Let us look at what the likely outcomes of this war are for the Iranian people:
- A popular uprising: Unlikely as those clambering for democracy were mowed down just weeks ago by the IRGC and the Basij, both the armed wings of the Iranian theocracy.
- A civil war: This would involve Iranian Kurds and others. They would be the boots on the ground supported by the US air power. This scenario will lead to the breakup of a civilisation that has given the world so much.
- The regular army changes sides: Unlike the IRGC, whose role is to protect Iran’s current political structure, the Artesh’s role is to defend Iran. This change would be catastrophic for the regime; is it likely? A shift in loyalty to a pro-democracy camp is unlikely because of the regime’s strong, brutal, and deeply embedded security infrastructure, combined with the uncertainty of what’s next
- The current Iranian regime survives: Here, the scenario is that the IRGC becomes even more brutal, and Iran then becomes Syria Mark Two.
- A Velvet Revolution by the Iranian people, that would be a dream come true.
From a historical context, any of the above could have untold consequences for the region, from oil shortages to oil reaching £150 a barrel, sending the global economy into recession. Another issue is that regional autocracies will be concerned about how Shia minorities in their countries will react if they are perceived at any point to be part of the Israeli/US coalition. What we have today is a journey from a democratically elected Prime Minister of Iran called Mohammad Mosaddegh, who was overthrown in a CIA and MI6-led coup in 1953 because he wanted to nationalise Anglo-Iranian oil ( BP). Then the Shah was installed, who created a façade of a modern European state underpinned by brutal political oppression. He was overthrown in a popular uprising, and his family went into luxurious exile with billions of dollars of misappropriated state funds. After the Shah’s exile in 1979, came the current brutal theocracy, which has lasted 47 years. The turmoil we see today was initiated 70 years ago by the actions of the US and the UK. The West also supported the Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein in an opportunistic, brutal war against Iran in 1980, with one goal: to dismantle the Islamic State, and then you ask why the Iranian regime distrusts the US.
We now live in a world where might is right, everything is transactional, genocide is overlooked, and whatever is left of the international world order is on the brink of collapse.
Breaking News: Trump has said he will work with a new unelected theocratic leader of Iran as long as they are nice to the US. YOU GET MY POINT ABOUT TRANSACTIONAL.
Have a nice day
Suneil Sharma
6th March 2026
The Gob 
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